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Fundamental Outlook

Fundamental Outlook of the week

Germany Balance of Trade

Friday, 7 August 2026, 6:00 am UTC
Influences mainly the Euro and european stocks
Trade surplus in Germany widened to €19.1 billion in May 2026 from an upwardly revised €14.7 billion in April, surpassing expectations of €14.8 billion, marking the largest trade surplus since February. It is expected at €15.6 billion for the upcoming release.

Canada Unemployment Rate

Friday, 7 August 2026, 12:30 pm UTC 
Has a direct impact on the Canadian dollar
The unemployment rate in Canada eased to 6.5% in June of 2026 from 6.6% in the previous month, below market expectations that it would remain unchanged and tying for the lowest since July of 2024. It is expected to rise to 6.8% for the next release.

United States Non Farm Payrolls

Friday, 7 August 2026, 12:30 pm UTC 
Has an effect on the USD, commodities and US stocks
The US economy added 57K jobs in June 2026, well below a downwardly revised 129K in May and forecasts of 110K. It was the lowest job gain in four months, following three consecutive months of stronger-than-expected gains. It is expected to rise to 120K for the July release.

United States Unemployment Rate 

Friday, 7 August 2026, 12:30 pm UTC 
Has an effect on the USD, commodities and US stocks
The US unemployment rate dropped to 4.2% in June 2026, down from 4.3% in May and below expectations, as many people left the workforce. It is expected to rise to 4.5% for the upcoming release.

Canada Ivey Purchasing Managers Index 

Friday, 7 August 2026, 2:00 pm UTC
Has a direct impact on the Canadian dollar
Canada's Ivey PMI fell to 56.2 in June 2026 from 58.2 in the previous month, missing market expectations of 59.1. It is expected to fall further to 53 for the next release.

United States Core PCE Price Index MoM

Thursday, 30 July 2026, 12:30 pm UTC
Has an effect on the USD, commodities and US stocks
The core PCE price index in the US, rose by 0.3% from the previous month in May 2026, the same as an upwardly revised 0.3% in April and in line with market forecasts. It is expected at 0.3% for the upcoming release.